House price predictions 2008
A gradual slowdown seems the most likely outcome for house prices in 2008, says a report just out


As the number of those getting new mortgages fell again in September, a new report has predicted that the housing market should see some small falls in inflation into 2008 and 2009, but no dramatic corrections. The economy is set to slow in 2008, according to the report from Capital Economics, as past rate increases, a weaker global backdrop and tighter credit conditions take their toll on activity, although interest rate cuts are now on the cards, perhaps as soon as next month. This slowdown is expected to be broadly comparable to that of 2004-2005 when house price inflation dropped sharply, but house prices did not fall, it says. ?We have cut our forecast for house price growth in 2008 from 0% to -3%,? it states. ?We also expect house prices to fall by a further 3% in 2009.? In London, financial turmoil has weakened the outlook, but a stagnation of house prices in the capital seems most likely in the short term, they say. Elsewhere, housing affordability is worst in parts of northern England, the Midlands, Wales and the South West, which makes them more vulnerable to falls: ?These regions will be hit hardest by softer household and public spending. Thus, by and large, we expect them to suffer the largest house price falls,? say the authors.
Sign up for the Country Life Newsletter
Exquisite houses, the beauty of Nature, and how to get the most from your life, straight to your inbox.
-
Alan Titchmarsh: 'It’s all too easy to become swamped by the ‘to-do’ list, but give yourself a little time to savour the moment'
Easter is a turning point in the calendar, says Alan Titchmarsh, a 'clarion call' to 'get out there and sow and plant'.
By Alan Titchmarsh
-
Rodel House: The Georgian marvel in the heart of the Outer Hebrides
An improving landlord in the Outer Hebrides created a remote Georgian house that has just undergone a stylish, but unpretentious remodelling, as Mary Miers reports. Photographs by Paul Highnam for Country Life.
By Mary Miers